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Portfolio selection and risk management are very actively studied topics in quantitative finance and applied statistics. They are closely related to the dependency structure of portfolio assets or risk factors. The correlation structure across assets and opposite tail movements are essential to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010365113
Systemic risk quantification in the current literature is concentrated on market-based methods such as CoVaR(Adrian and Brunnermeier (2016)). Although it is easily implemented, the interactions among the variables of interest and their joint distribution are less addressed. To quantify systemic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011710562
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300607
In this paper we provide a review of copula theory with applications to finance. We illustrate the idea on the bivariate framework and discuss the simple, elliptical and Archimedean classes of copulae. Since the copulae model the dependency structure between random variables, next we explain the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003727552
We consider the expected shortfall of accounting values, or, mathematically speaking, of random variables that are not continuous (i. e. whose cumulative distribution function is not continuous). Acerbi and Tasche show that one has to abandon the conditional expectation in order to maintain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108965
such, this paper constructs 60 conditional volatility forecasting models. Several extensions of the GARCH model are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898513
We provide an extreme value analysis of the returns of Bitcoin. A particular focus is on the tail risk characteristics and we will provide an in-depth univariate extreme value analysis. Those properties will be compared to the traditional exchange rates of the G10 currencies versus the US...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012935265
One of the main challenges for the regulatory authorities in the aftermath of the last financial crisis is to define pragmatical and practicable risk concepts for the control and the regulation of systemic risks. They need for this purpose risk models that on one hand can capture the macro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013009730
I provide a measure of time-varying tail risk in credit markets based on a dynamic power-law model. Credit tail risk is estimated from extreme price fluctuations of credit default swaps (CDS) on government debt. Tail returns are described by a power-law for core and peripheral countries within...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013244546
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