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Dynamic probabilistic forecasting with uncertainty
Benth, Fred Espen; Kutrolli, Gleda; Stefani, Silvana - In: International journal of theoretical and applied finance 24 (2021) 6/7, pp. 1-18
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012807773
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Estimating probability distributions of future asset prices : empirical transformations from option-implied risk-neutral to real-world density functions
Vincent-Humphreys, Rupert de; Noss, Joseph - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009559811
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The empirical performance of option based densities of foreign exchange
Craig, Ben R.; Keller, Joachim G. - 2002
Risk neutral densities (RND) can be used to forecast the price of the underlying basis for the option, or it may be used to price other derivates based on the same sequence. The method adopted in this paper to calculate the RND is to firts estimate daily the diffusion process of the underlying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431367
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Forecasting with option-implied information
Christoffersen, Peter F.; Jacobs, Kris; Chang, Bo Young - 2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507021
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Out-of-sample density forecasts with affine jump diffusion models
Yun, Jaeho - In: Journal of banking & finance 47 (2014), pp. 74-87
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010506503
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Forecasting the density of oil futures returns using model-free implied volatility and high-frequency data
Ielpo, Florian; Sévi, Benoît - 2014
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010432122
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Forecasting with option implied information
Christoffersen, Peter F.; Jacobs, Kris; Chang, Bo Young - 2011
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009385092
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COMFORT: a common market factor non-Gaussian returns model
Paolella, Marc S.; Polak, Pawel - In: Journal of econometrics 187 (2015) 2, pp. 593-605
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011499783
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The empirical performance of option-based densities of foreign exchange
Craig, Ben R. (contributor); Keller, Joachim G. (contributor) - 2003 - [Elektronische Ressource]
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002542714
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The empirical performance of option based densities of foreign exchange
Craig, Ben R.; Keller, Joachim G. - 2002
Risk neutral densities (RND) can be used to forecast the price of the underlying basis for the option, or it may be used to price other derivates based on the same sequence. The method adopted in this paper to calculate the RND is to firts estimate daily the diffusion process of the underlying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001656178