In this paper we compare the relative efficiency of different methods of forecasting the aggregate of spatially correlated variables. Small sample simulations confirm the asymptotic result that improved forecasting performance can be obtained by imposing a priori constraints on the amount of...

Very large data sets in economics are already available and will soon become commonplace. The econometric techniques currently in use may not be relevant and new techniques will have to be devised. It can be argued that most tests of significance, linear models, assumptions of normality, and...