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Do forecasters inform or reassure? Evaluation of the German real-time data
Kholodilin, Konstantin Arkadievich; Siliverstovs, Boriss - 2009
the least reliable, whereas real GDP and real private consumption data are the most reliable. In addition, early forecasts … forecasts of all the variables seem to be no more accurate than naive forecasts based on the historical mean of the final data. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324268
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Do forecasters inform or reassure? : evaluation of the German real-time data
Cholodilin, Konstantin Arkadʹevič; Siliverstovs, Boriss - 2009
. -- Quality of statistical data ; real-time data ; signal-to-noise ratio ; forecasts ; revisions … the least reliable, whereas real GDP and real private consumption data are the most reliable. In addition, early forecasts … forecasts of all the variables seem to be no more accurate than nai͏̈ve forecasts based on the historical mean of the final data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003908532
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Do forecasters inform or reassure? : evaluation of the German real-time data
Cholodilin, Konstantin Arkadʹevič; Siliverstovs, Boriss - 2009
. -- Quality of statistical data ; real-time data ; signal-to-noise ratio ; forecasts ; revisions … the least reliable, whereas real GDP and real private consumption data are the most reliable. In addition, early forecasts … forecasts of all the variables seem to be no more accurate than naive forecasts based on the historical mean of the final data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003799732
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Do Forecasters Inform or Reassure? Evaluation of the German Real-Time Data
Kholodilin, Konstantin A. - 2009
the least reliable, whereas real GDP and real private consumption data are the most reliable. In addition, early forecasts … forecasts of all the variables seem to be no more accurate than naive forecasts based on the historical mean of the final data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012718602
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Short-Term Estimates of Euro Area Real GDP by Means of Monthly Data
Sédillot, Franck; Rünstler, Gerhard - 2021
examine GDP forecasts under different amounts of monthly information. We find that already a limited amount of monthly … information improves the predictions for current-quarter GDP growth to a considerable extent, compared with ARIMA forecasts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319574
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Do forecasters inform or reassure? : evaluation of the German real-time data
Cholodilin, Konstantin Arkadʹevič; Siliverstovs, Boriss - In: Applied economics quarterly 55 (2009) 4, pp. 269-293
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003969113
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Short-term estimates of euro area real GDP by means of monthly data
Rünstler, Gerhard; Sédillot, Franck - 2003
examine GDP forecasts under different amounts of monthly information. We find that already a limited amount of monthly … information improves the predictions for current-quarter GDP growth to a considerable extent, compared with ARIMA forecasts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635895
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Stock markets and real-time macroeconomic data
Hartmann, Daniel - 2007
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003516924
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Do Housing Submarkets Really Matter?
Bourassa, Steven C.; Hoesli, Martin; Peng, Vincent S. - 2002
This paper tests whether out-of-sample hedonic value predictions can be improved when a large urban housing market is divided into submarkets.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005843394
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Evaluation des Eurozone Economic Outlook
Breitrainer, Korbinian; Hristov, Atanas - In: ifo Schnelldienst 68 (2015) 24, pp. 67-73
Das ifo Institut erstellt zusammen mit dem INSEE, Paris, und dem Istat, Rom vierteljährlich Prognosen für das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt, die Inflation, den Konsum, die Investitionen und die Industrieproduktion im Euroraum, den Eurozone Economic Outlook (EZEO). Der Beitrag bewertet die...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011693913