We derive the continuity properties of the CDF of a random variable defined as a saddle-type point of a real valued continuous stochastic process on a compact metric space. This result facilitates the derivation of first order asymptotic properties of tests for stochastic spanning w.r.t. some...

A Stochastic Arbitrage Opportunity is defined as a zero-cost investment portfolio that enhances every feasible benchmark portfolio for all admissible utility functions. The present study provides a formal theory of consistent estimation of the set of arbitrage opportunities and an Empirical...

This paper develops a simple technique that controls for ldquo;false discoveries,rdquo; or mutual funds that exhibit significant alphas by luck alone. Our approach precisely separates funds into (1) unskilled, (2) zero-alpha, and (3) skilled funds, even with dependencies in cross-fund estimated...

In the context of modern portfolio theory, we compare the out-of-sample performance of 8 investment strategies which are based on statistical methods with the out-of-sample performance of a family of trivial strategies. A wide range of approaches is considered in this work, including the...

Today, the investment into indices has become a widely used strategy in portfolio management. While Index Funds and ETFs try to represent the performance of a single index, other portfolio strategies use indices as portfolio components to concentrate on the allocation task. Because an index...

This paper develops a simple technique that controls for "false discoveries", or mutual funds that exhibit significant alphas by luck alone. Our approach precisely separates funds into (1) unskilled, (2) zero-alpha, and (3) skilled funds, even with dependencies in cross-fund estimated alphas. We...

This paper first develops a new approach, which is based on the Nelson-Siegel term structure factor-augmented model, to compute the VaR of bond portfolios. We then applied the model to examine whether information contained on macroeconomic variables and financial shocks can help to explain the...

We develop a new test for threshold-type regime changes in the risk exposures in portfolios with a large number of financial assets whose returns exhibit an approximate factor structure. Unlike existing procedures to detect discrete shifts in factor models, our test is robust to regime-specific...

We find stochastic uniform inefficiency of many widely held (active) portfolios and fund strategies relative to popular benchmarks. Uniformity provides robust findings over general classes of utility (loss) functions and unknown distribution of returns. Evidence is based on statistical tests for...

We develop a Linear Programming test to analyze if a given investment portfolio is efficient in terms of second-order stochastic dominance relative to all possible portfolios formed from a set of base assets. The test has a convenient Linear Programming structure. In case of efficiency, the...