Backtesting methods are statistical tests designed to uncover excessive risk-taking from financial institutions. We show in this paper that these methods are subject to the presence of model risk produced by a wrong specification of the conditional VaR model, and derive its effect on the...

This paper presents a novel test of cointegration that is robust to general forms of weak dependence in the innovation sequences and is simple to implement. In contrast to existing procedures, this is achieved without applying corrections to the test statistic for removing the effect of serial...