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ratio in stock markets is so low that overfitting is inevitable. Simulation offers a means of assessing and compensating for … the dangers. It is not obvious at first how simulation can be helpful for backtesting and predicting markets but we show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055397
Generalized Information Matrix Tests (GIMTs) have recently been used for detecting the presence of misspecification in regression models in both randomized controlled trials and observational studies. In this paper, a unified GIMT framework is developed for the purpose of identifying,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011650480
In the microsimulation literature, it is still uncommon to test the statistical significance of results. In this paper we argue that this situation is both undesirable and unnecessary. Provided the parameters used in the microsimulation are exogenous, as is often the case in static...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010201167
components are considered. -- cross-sectional dependence ; estimator ; panel cointegration ; simulation study ; test …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009736650
'Agostino criteria. Evidence from a simulation study is reported showing that the usual critical values lead to severe size problems …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014197182
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003510803
Virtually each seasonal adjustment software includes an ensemble of seasonality tests for assessing whether a given time series is in fact a candidate for seasonal adjustment. However, such tests are certain to produce either the same resultor conflicting results, raising the question if there...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012301212
Indirect inference testing can be carried out with a variety of auxiliary models. Asymptotically these different models make no difference. However, in small samples power can differ. We explore small sample power with three different auxiliary models: a VAR, average Impulse Response Functions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011471762
Historical Simulation (HS) and its variant, the Filtered Historical Simulation (FHS), are the most widely used Value …, our theoretical findings are confirmed in a Monte Carlo simulation study and an empirical application with three U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108779
Indirect inference testing can be carried out with a variety of auxiliary models. Asymptotically these different models make no difference. However, the small sample properties can differ. We explore small sample power and estimation bias both with different variable combinations and descriptive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011886113