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Individuals aged 65 years and older currently make up a larger share of the population than ever before, and this group is predicted to continue growing both in absolute terms and relative to the rest of the population. This chapter begins by introducing the facts, figures, and forecasts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011528113
Using data for six OECD countries, this paper studies the effect of macroeconomic conditions on the mortality index kt in the well-known Lee-Carter model. Significant correlations are found with real GDP growth rates in Australia, Canada, and the United States, and with unemployment rate changes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265670
We present a new way to model age-specific demographic variables with the example of age-specific mortality in the U.S., building on the Lee-Carter approach and extending it in several dimensions. We incorporate covariates and model their dynamics jointly with the latent variables underlying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276366
We present a new way to model age-specific demographic variables, using the example of age-specific mortality in the United States, building on the LeeCarter approach and extending it in several dimensions. We incorporate covariates and model their dynamics jointly with the latent variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276367
The aim of this paper is to study the long-run effects of a longevity increase on individual decisions about education and retirement, taking macroeconomic repercussions through endogenous factor prices and the pension system into account. We build a model of a closed economy inhabited by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010528342
This paper proposes a new set of public health and long-term care expenditure projections till 2060, following up on the previous set of projections published in 2006. It disentangles health from longterm care expenditure as well as the demographic from the non-demographic drivers, and refines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009775557
Life expectancy differs from person to person, population to population and pension scheme to pension scheme. So, your scheme members' mortality experience will be unique. Age is its dominant determinant, but life expectancy is influenced by other factors including gender, geographical location,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833086
Individuals aged 65 years and older currently make up a larger share of the population than ever before, and this group is predicted to continue growing both in absolute terms and relative to the rest of the population. This chapter begins by introducing the facts, figures, and forecasts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012983909
population estimates at the county level that will be beneficial for researchers working in historical demography, as well as in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012548205
The formerly socialist countries of Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union have experienced a remarkable demographic transformation in the past twenty years. On many dimensions of fertility and family formation, much of the region now looks like Western Europe-below-replacement fertility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008660837