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. -- stochastic mortality ; subjective survival expectations ; forecast dispersion ; savings behavior …Theoretical studies suggest that unexpected changes in future mortality and survival probabilities (stochastic … mortality) are important determinants of individuals’ decisions about consumption, saving, asset allocation, and retirement …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008663390
matching data on longevity risk from the Human Mortality Database. We find a positive relationship between the forecast … longevity risk. Our analysis of savings behavior shows that the dispersion in survival estimates is primarily explained by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115873
Theoretical studies suggest that unexpected changes in future mortality and survival probabilities (stochastic … mortality) are important determinants of individuals' decisions about consumption, saving, asset allocation, and retirement … (SHARE) and corresponding life table data from the Human Mortality Database (HMD), we find evidence of respondents' awareness …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281598
uptake of German households in a probit model. Using survey data on savings and old-age provision, we find that subjective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003969303
On average, "young" people underestimate whereas "old" people overestimate their chances to survive into the future. We adopt a Bayesian learning model of ambiguous survival beliefs which replicates these patterns. The model is embedded within a non-expected utility model of life-cycle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092823
life-cycle consumption and savings. According to numerous studies on subjective survival beliefs, young people also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011629177
is compared with hyperbolic discounting within a standard life-cycle setting of consumption and savings. We show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010340559
provide evidence that individuals mis-perceive their mortality risk, and study the demand for annuities in a setting where …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011991369
This paper analyses the impact of health, pension systems and longevity on savings. It uses a simple life-cycle model … savings. From this model, we derived an econometric specification, augmented with the effects of public budget balances. The … savings. In line with life-cycle theory, we found that longevity increases saving ratios …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034723
In the wake of the financial crisis and continued volatility in international capital markets, there is growing interest in mechanisms that can protect people against retirement account volatility. This paper explores the consequences for savers’ wellbeing of implementing market-based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012113765