This paper introduces a concern for model misspecification in a Lucas-Stokey optimal fiscal policy setting. The representative household in this economy is endowed with the knowledge of a reference model for the government spending process but acknowledges that this model is potentially...

To meet the needs of a broad set of internal and external stakeholders now and into the future the Australian Treasury maintains a significant macroeconomic modelling capability. Treasury's current inhouse capability is similar to that of the US Congressional Budget Office (CBO) and the Joint...

This paper considers a setting in which the acquisition of human capital entails a change of location in social space that causes individuals to revise their comparison groups. Skill levels are viewed as occupational groups, and moving up the skill ladder by acquiring additional human capital,...

Die Steuer- und Finanzpolitik legt die Grundlagen für eine erfolgreiche Aufgabenerfüllung des Staates. Wie wird in den nächsten Jahren die Steuer- und Finanzpolitik gestaltet werden? Wo liegen die Probleme? Wo sehen Wissenschaft, Handwerk und Politik Handlungsbedarf? Um diese Fragen zu...

In der April-Umfrage des ifo World Economic Survey (WES) wurden die Teilnehmer nach ihrer Einschätzung der durch die US-Reformen der Steuer- und Handelspolitik angestoßenen Veränderungen befragt. Eine deutliche Mehrheit der Befragungsteilnehmer geht davon aus, dass die Änderungen der...

Facing very modest GDP growth in Germany in 2001 and 2002, it is investigated if potential output will – as usually expected – grow by 1.5 to 2.0 percent until 2005. The incentives to work and to invest and their changes in the nineties are analyzed. Given the foreseeable changes of these...

The 2008 financial crisis is the worst economic crisis since the Great Depression of 1929. It has been characterised by a housing bubble in a context of rapid credit expansion, high risk-taking and exacerbated financial leverage, leading to deleveraging and credit crunch when the bubble burst....

This paper identifies tax policy that both speeds recovery from the current economic crisis and contributes to long-run growth. This is a challenge because short-term recovery requires increases in demand while long-term growth requires increases in supply. As short-term tax concessions can be...

Die künftige Regierung sollte die wirtschaftliche Erholung und Stärkung der Wachstumskräfte in den Mittelpunkt ihrer Politik stellen. Dabei ist es sinnvoll, öffentliche Investitionen auszubauen, steuerliche Bedingungen für private Investitionen, Innovationen und Beschäftigung zu...