Maximum-likelihood estimates of the parameters of stochastic differential equations are consistent and asymptotically efficient, but unfortunately difficult to obtain if a closed-form expression for the transitional probability density function of the process is not available. As a result, a...

In light of the recent financial and real economic crisis, it seems clear that macroeconomists need to better account for the influence of financial markets. This paper explores the consequences of treating the interaction between different financial markets, monetary policy, and the real...

This paper analyses the main drivers of sovereign bond spreads in a globalised world. Specifically, we account for international spillovers of bond spreads by adding an additional driver, namely, financial markets, and allowing interactions across countries and markets. We contribute to the VAR...

Abstract In this paper, we develop a stochastic model to analyze how financial contagion may affect economic activity. In the deterministic case, we show that, according to specific parameter values, the economy may converge either to a stress-free equilibrium or to a stressed equilibrium: in...

This paper analyses the main drivers of sovereign bond spreads in a globalised world. Specifically, we account for international spillovers of bond spreads by adding an additional driver, namely, financial markets, and allowing interactions across countries and markets. We contribute to the VAR...

The purpose of this paper is to present a numerical method to solve partial stochastic differential equations. This concept remains the differential operator unchanged but discretizes the dimension of the problem. The response function will be decomposed by the Karhunen--Loeve expansion and...

A central element in organization of financal means by a person, a company or societal group consists in the constitution, analysis and optimization of portfolios. This requests the time-depending modeling of processes. Likewise many processes in nature, technology and economy, financial...

Discrete-time ARMA processes can be placed in a one-to-one correspondence with a set of continuous-time processes that are bounded in frequency by the Nyquist value of ? radians per sample period. It is well known that, if data are sampled from a continuous process of which the maximum frequency...

A theory of band-limited linear stochastic processes is described and it is related to the familiar theory of ARMA models in discrete time. By ignoring the limitation on the frequencies of the forcing function, in the process of fitting a conventional ARMA model, one is liable to derive...

In light of the recent financial and real economic crisis, it seems clear that macroeconomists need to better account for the influence of financial markets. This paper explores the consequences of treating the interaction between different financial markets, monetary policy, and the real...