Showing 1 - 10 of 66
This study develops an easy forecasting model using prefectural data in Japan. The Markov chain known as a stochastic model corresponds to the vector auto-regressive (VAR) model of the first order. If the transition probability matrix can be appropriately estimated, the forecasting model using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011340670
The primus inter pares of the UN Millennium Development Goals is to reduce poverty. The only internationally accepted method of estimating poverty requires a measurement of total consumption based on a time and resource demanding household budget or integrated survey over 12 months. Rather than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011968185
Electricity retailers face increasing uncertainty due to the ongoing expansion of unpredictable, distributed generation in the residential sector. We analyze how increasing levels of households' solar PV self-generation affect the short-term decisionmaking and associated risk exposure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012587557
Solvency II defines minimum capital requirements from insurance companies, due to their exposure to risk. Regulatory bodies of the Brazilian insurance market issued regulations based on a deterministic model for the calculation of risk based capital. In this study, we discuss a simple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012664299
Piston plays a vital role in almost all types of vehicles. The present study discusses the behavioral study of a piston manufacturing plant. Manufacturing plants are complex repairable systems and therefore, it is difficult to evaluate the performance of a piston manufacturing plant using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011551808
Este documento presenta una metodología para analizar la sostenibilidad de la deuda pública, que incorpora elementos que permiten cuantificar la incertidumbre del entorno macrofinanciero. El objetivo es identificar los riesgos, no solo bajo supuestos concretos, sino también teniendo en cuenta...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014573634
This paper presents a methodology for analysing public debt sustainability that incorporates factors that enable uncertainty in the macro-financial environment to be quantified. The aim is to identify risks, not only under specific assumptions, but also considering a complete characterisation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014573635
The primus inter pares of the UN Millennium Development Goals is to reduce poverty. The only internationally accepted method of estimating poverty requires a measurement of total consumption based on a time and resource demanding household budget or integrated survey over 12 months. Rather than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004980707
This paper analyzes the diverse scientific careers of researchers in order to understand the key factors that could lead to a successful career. Essentially, we intend to answer some specific questions pertaining to a researcher's scientific career – What are the local and the global dynamics...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011189276
The suprachiasmatic nucleus (SCN) of the hypothalamus is the mammalian circadian pacemaker that plays a dominant role in the generation and control of daily physiological and behavioral rhythms. The coupling of the SCN neuronal activity with the solar day–night cycle and the intercellular...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011194011