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propose a reverse stress test methodology based on a stochastic simulation optimization system. This methodology enables users …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012322078
In this paper we formulate the Risk Management Control problem in the interest rate area as a constrained stochastic portfolio optimization problem. The utility that we use can be any continuous function and based on the viscosity theory, the unique solution of the problem is guaranteed. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011552973
We study the optimal excess-of-loss reinsurance problem when both the intensity of the claims arrival process and the claim size distribution are influenced by an exogenous stochastic factor. We assume that the insurer’s surplus is governed by a marked point process with dual-predictable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012019228
In this paper we develop several regression algorithms for solving general stochastic optimal control problems via Monte Carlo. This type of algorithms is particularly useful for problems with a highdimensional state space and complex dependence structure of the underlying Markov process with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003835132
This study develops an easy forecasting model using prefectural data in Japan. The Markov chain known as a stochastic model corresponds to the vector auto-regressive (VAR) model of the first order. If the transition probability matrix can be appropriately estimated, the forecasting model using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011521990
An enhanced option pricing framework that makes use of both continuous and discontinuous time paths based on a geometric Brownian motion and Poisson-driven jump processes respectively is performed in order to better fit with real-observed stock price paths while maintaining the analytical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118115
We study a two-period supply chain in which a manufacturer produces a product, learns to reduce cost, and sells it through a retailer with a price-dependent demand. The manufacturer's second-period production cost declines linearly in the first-period production with a random learning rate. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838122
Time delay in communication(information) flow is often found in many network systems. Inspired by volatility spillovers and clustering explained by “flocking” mechanism, we study the effect of the time delay in our model system of heterogeneous stock returns' volatilities. Our model is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841316
The proliferation of algorithmic high-frequency trading in financial markets has also led to an increase in new types of fraudulent activity. Since the flash-crash of 2010 first brought it to popular prominence, layering or spoofing fraud has become a major concern for financial regulators...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891797
We propose a consistent and computationally efficient 2-step methodology for the estimation of multidimensional non-Gaussian asset models built using Lévy processes. The proposed framework allows for dependence between assets and different tail-behaviors and jump structures for each asset. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937321