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In this paper we derive tests for parameter constancy when the data generating process is non-stationary against the hypothesis that the parameters of the model change smoothly over time. To obtain the asymptotic distributions of the tests we generalize many theoretical results, as well as new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002570513
In this paper we introduce the Smooth Permanent Surge [SPS] model. The model is an integrated non lineal moving average process with possibly unit roots in the moving average coefficients. The process nests the Stochastic Permanent Break [STOPBREAK] process by Engle and Smith (1999) and in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002465176
The random coefficient autoregressive model has been utilized for modeling financial time series because it possesses features that are often observed in financial time series. When the mean of the random autoregressive coefficient is one, it is called the stochastic unit root model. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014107239
This paper considers the question of whether changes in persistence have occurred during the long-run evolution of U.S. prices of the non-renewable energy resources crude oil, natural gas and bituminous coal. Our main contribution is to allow for a structural break when testing for a break in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120371
This paper considers spot variance path estimation from datasets of intraday high frequency asset prices in the presence of diurnal variance patterns, jumps, leverage effects and microstructure noise. We rely on parametric and nonparametric methods. The estimated spot variance path can be used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153285
In an important generalization of zero frequency autoregressive unit root tests, Hylleberg, Engle, Granger, and Yoo (1990) developed regression-based tests for unit roots at the seasonal frequencies in quarterly time series. We develop likelihood ratio tests for seasonal unit roots and show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153597
Seemingly absent from the arsenal of currently available "nearly efficient" testing procedures for the unit root hypothesis, i.e. tests whose local asymptotic power functions are indistinguishable from the Gaussian power envelope, is a test admitting a (quasi-)likelihood ratio interpretation. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156595
Capturing dependence among a large number of high dimensional random vectors is a very important and challenging problem. By arranging n random vectors of length p in the form of a matrix, we develop a linear spectral statistic of the constructed matrix to test whether the n random vectors are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085147
In a recently publicized study, Harvey et al. (2012) investigated procedures for unit root testing employing break detection methods under local break in trend. We apply this methodology to analyze asymptotic and nite sample behavior of procedures under local break to test the stationarity null...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013072780
We consider the fully extended local Whittle estimator of the fractional order of integration d proposed by Abadir, Distaso and Giraitis (2007), and the extended parametric Whittle estimator suggested by Shao (2010). They are valid under stationarity as well as nonstationarity: a priori...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927965