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Conditional value-at-risk forecasts of an optimal foreign currency portfolio
Kim, Dongwhan; Kang, Kyu Ho - In: International journal of forecasting 37 (2021) 2, pp. 838-861
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012792873
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The time-varying effects of permanent and transistory shocks to real output
Keating, John William; Valcarcel, Victor J. - In: Macroeconomic dynamics 19 (2015) 3, pp. 477-507
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011308634
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Fat-tails in VAR models
Chiu, Ching Wai Jeremy; Mumtaz, Haroon; Pinter, Gabor - 2014
volatility and Student-t disturbances outperforms restricted alternatives that feature either attributes. The VAR model with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339759
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Daily exchange rate behaviour and hedging of currency risk
Bos, Charles S.; Mahieu, Ronald J.; Dijk, Herman K. van - 2001
methods. The effects ofseveral modelcharacteristics (unit roots, GARCH, stochastic volatility, heavy taileddisturbance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011313921
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Robust inference intime-varying structural VAR models : the DC-Cholesky multivariate stochasticvolatility model
Hartwig, Benny - 2020
Cholesky multivariate stochastic volatility model.It establishes that systematically different dynamic restrictions are imposed … divergent when volatility clusters idiosyncratically.It is illustrated that this property is important for empirical … indicate that conclusions may critically hinge on a selectedordering of variables. The dynamic correlation Cholesky …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012250452
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Robust inference in time-varying structural VAR models : the DC-cholesky multivariate stochastic volatility model
Hartwig, Benny - 2020
Cholesky multivariate stochastic volatility model. It establishes that systematically different dynamic restrictions are … divergent when volatility clusters idiosyncratically. It is illustrated that this property is important for empirical … indicate that conclusions may critically hinge on a selected ordering of variables. The dynamic correlation Cholesky …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012424283
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Multivariate stochastic volatility with dynamic cross leverage
Trojan, Sebastian - 2014
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010437486
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Bayesian inference for a periodic stochastic volatility model of intraday electricity prices
Smith, Michael Stanley - In: Statistical modelling and regression structures : …, (pp. 353-376). 2010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003964500
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Chapter 15. Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregression
Karlsson, Sune - 2013
This chapter reviews Bayesian methods for inference and forecasting with VAR models. Bayesian inference and, by extension, forecasting depends on numerical methods for simulating from the posterior distribution of the parameters and special attention is given to the implementation of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025233
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Structural compressed panel VAR with stochastic volatility : a robust Bayesian model averaging procedure
Pacifico, Antonio - In: Econometrics : open access journal 10 (2022) 3, pp. 1-24
predictors, where robust stands for the use of mixtures of proper conjugate priors. Concerning dynamic analysis, volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013459503