Showing 1 - 10 of 16,630
The paper examines the relative performance of Stochastic Volatility (SV) and GARCH(1,1) models fitted to twenty plus … years of daily data for three indices. As a benchmark, I use the realized volatility (RV) for the S&P 500, DOW JONES and … volatility models, if the simple expedient of using lagged squared demeaned daily returns provides a better RV predictor, at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012384599
This paper develops a method to select the threshold in threshold-based jump detection methods. The method is motivated by an analysis of threshold-based jump detection methods in the context of jump-diffusion models. We show that over the range of sampling frequencies a researcher is most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011524214
This paper develops a method to select the threshold in threshold-based jump detection methods. The method is motivated by an analysis of threshold-based jump detection methods in the context of jump-diffusion models. We show that over the range of sampling frequencies a researcher is most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011823308
daily data for FTSE. As a benchmark, we use the realized volatility (RV) of FTSE sampled at 5-minute intervals, taken from …The paper examines the relative performance of Stochastic Volatility (SV) and GARCH(1,1) models fitted to ten years of … demeaned daily returns on FTSE, appears to predict the daily RV of FTSE better than either of the two models. Quantile …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859426
This paper develops a method to improve the estimation of jump variation using high frequency data with the existence … of market microstructure noises. Accurate estimation of jump variation is in high demand, as it is an important component … of volatility in finance for portfolio allocation, derivative pricing and risk management. The method has a two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011568279
This paper considers spot variance path estimation from datasets of intraday high frequency asset prices in the … microstructure noise has an adverse effect on both spot variance estimation and jump detection. In our approach we can analyze high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379469
We develop tests for deciding whether a large cross‐section of asset prices obey an exact factor structure at the times of factor jumps. Such jump dependence is implied by standard linear factor models. Our inference is based on a panel of asset returns with asymptotically increasing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012042424
forecasting the volatility of equity prices, using high-frequency data from 2000 to 2016. We consider the SPY and 20 stocks that …, 60 and 300 seconds), forecast horizons (1, 5, 22 and 66 days) and the use of standard and robust-to-noise volatility and …-time forecasts than the HAR-RV model, although no single extended model dominates. In general, standard volatility measures at the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030057
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009720703
In this paper, we review the most common specifications of discrete-time stochastic volatility (SV) models and … indices and foreign exchange rates. -- Stochastic volatility ; Markov chain Monte Carlo ; Metropolis-Hastings algorithm Jump …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003770817