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This paper studies the stochastic modeling of market drawdown events and the fair valuation of insurance contracts based on drawdowns. We model the asset drawdown process as the current relative distance from the historical maximum of the asset value. We first consider a vanilla insurance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084358
This paper studies the valuation of multiple American options in an incomplete market where asset prices follow Markov-modulated dynamics. The holder's optimal hedging and exercising strategies are determined from a utility maximization problem with optimal multiple stopping. We analyze the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038620
This paper studies an optimal trading problem that incorporates the trader's market view on the terminal asset price distribution and uninformative noise embedded in the asset price dynamics. We model the underlying asset price evolution by an exponential randomized Brownian bridge (rBb) and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900342
This paper studies the optimal risk-averse timing to sell a risky asset. The investor's risk preference is described by the exponential, power, or log utility. Two stochastic models are considered for the asset price – the geometric Brownian motion and exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck models –...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903295
We study a stochastic control approach to managed futures portfolios. Building on the Schwartz (1997) stochastic convenience yield model for commodity prices, we formulate a utility maximization problem for dynamically trading a single-maturity futures or multiple futures contracts over a finite...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897676
We study the problem of dynamically trading multiple futures whose underlying asset price follows a multiscale central tendency Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (MCTOU) model. Under this model, we derive the closed-form no-arbitrage prices for the futures contracts. Applying a utility maximization approach,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012823390