Lin, Li; Ren, Ruoen; Sornette, Didier - 2009
We present a self-consistent model for explosive financial bubbles, which combines a mean-reverting volatility process … correctly identifies the bubbles ending in Oct. 1987, in Oct. 1997, in Aug. 1998 and the ITC bubble ending on the first quarter … diagnostic for the duration of bubbles: applied to the period before Oct. 1987 crash, there is clear evidence that the bubble …