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Theoretical studies suggest that unexpected changes in future mortality and survival probabilities (stochastic … mortality) are important determinants of individuals' decisions about consumption, saving, asset allocation, and retirement … timing. Using data on subjective survival expectations elicited in the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281598
may either choose to receive annuity payouts, calculated based on a mortality table agreed to at contract inception, or … receive the accumulated capital as a lump sum. Considering stochastic mortality improvements, such an option could be of … substantial value. Whenever mortality improves less than originally expected, the policyholder will choose the lump sum and buy an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003828653
the capital accumulated. Considering stochastic mortality improvements, the lump-sum option could be of potential value … for the policyholder. Whenever mortality improves less than expected at contract inception, the policyholder will choose … stochastic mortality. Our results are relevant for individual retirement planning, pension system design, and insurance pricing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014189161
may either choose to receive annuity payouts, calculated based on a mortality table agreed to at contract inception, or … receive the accumulated capital as a lump sum. Considering stochastic mortality improvements, such an option could be of … substantial value. Whenever mortality improves less than originally expected, the policyholder will choose the lump sum and buy an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263765
I analyze new data on subjective probabilistic expectations on house prices collected in the Spanish Survey of Household Finances. Households are asked to distribute ten points among five different scenarios for the change in the price of their homes over the next 12 months. This paper is the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011417887
I analyse new data on subjective probabilistic expectations on house prices collected in the Spanish Survey of Household Finances. Households are asked to distribute ten points among five different scenarios for the change in the price of their homes over the next 12 months. This paper is the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011213
Expectation anchors are price levels that traders use as indications of whether the market is over- or under-priced. I develop the theory behind this well-documented behavioral notion, leading to the class of periodic demand functions. With a large number of heterogeneous agents, prices become...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826436
in which (i.) the force of mortality obeys a diffusion process as opposed to being deterministic, and (ii.) a consumer … can adapt their consumption strategy to new information about their mortality rate (a.k.a. health status) as it becomes … available. We compare and contrast the optimal consumption paths to investigate the impact of mortality rate uncertainty vs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126512
This exercise offers an innovative learning mechanism to model economic agent's decision-making process using a deep reinforcement learning algorithm. In particular, this AI agent is born in an economic environment with no information on the underlying economic structure and its own preference....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012603191
We propose a new framework for studying the evolution of heterogeneous beliefs in a dynamic feedback setting. Beliefs distributions are defined on a beliefs space representing a continuum of possible strategies agents can choose from. Agents base their choices on past performances, re-evaluating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334360