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In this article we consider the efficient estimation of the tail distribution of the maximum of correlated normal random variables. We show that the currently recommended Monte Carlo estimator has difficulties in quantifying its precision, because its sample variance estimator is an inefficient...
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Extreme value theory for a class of EGARCH processes is developed. It is shown that the EGARCH process as well as the … GARCH ; extreme value theory ; tail behavior ; Gumbel distribution ; conditional variance ; Gaussian tail ; stochastic …
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Portfolio risk estimation in volatile markets requires employing fat-tailed models for financial returns combined with copula functions to capture asymmetries in dependence and an appropriate downside risk measure. In this survey, we discuss how these three essential components can be combined...
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these events. Using theory and simulations we study the implications of the imminent threat of climate change on different …
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