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Mortality improvements and life expectancies have been increasing in recent decades, leading to growing interest in … understanding mortality risk and longevity risk. Studies of mortality forecasting are of interest among actuaries and demographers … because mortality forecasting can quantify mortality and longevity risks. There is an abundance of literature on the topic of …
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This paper evaluates the out-of-sample performance of two stochastic models used to forecast age specific mortality … are used to compare observed ex-post mortality rates to the forecasts generated by the models. Several functions of the … individual age-specific mortality rates are also entertained, including life expectancy at birth (e0), as well as alternative …
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