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This paper develops a systematic Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) framework based upon Efficient Importance Sampling … solution. EIS is a simple, generic and yet accurate Monte-Carlo integration procedure based on sampling densities which are … MCMC components such as auxiliary sampling densities, normalizing constants and starting values. The potential of this …
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We investigate changes in the time series characteristics of postwar U.S. inflation. In a model-based analysis the conditional mean of inflation is specified by a long memory autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average process and the conditional variance is modelled by a stochastic...
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