This paper focuses on an analytic approach that has received relatively sparse application in the economics/finance literature: simulation. Providing a laboratory-type environment, simulation can generate data that enable a com- plex environment to be assessed in a tractable manner that might...

The experimental approach is applied to explore the value of unidentified historical information in stock-return prediction. Return sequences were randomly drawn cross section and time from historical S&P500 data. Subjects were requested to predict returns or select stocks from 12 preceding...

Studies analyzing return expectations of financial market participants like fund managers, CFOs or individual investors are highly influential in academia and practice. We argue and show that the results in these surveys above are easily influenced by the elicitation mode of return expectations....

Spanish Abstract: En el presente artículo se analiza si la propagación de un rumor referido a las acciones en un mercado influye o no en el comportamiento de los agentes al momento de tomar decisiones de inversión, y si este se correlaciona con la formación de burbujas. Para efectos de esta...