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TFP news, stock market booms and the business cycle : revisiting the evidence with VEC models
Di Casola, Paola; Sichlimiris, Spyridon - 2020
Beaudry and Portier (2006) provide support for the "news view" of the business cycle, using a vector error correction model. We show that this result hinges on a cointegrating relationship between TFP and stock prices that is not stationary, thus making the estimates not reliable. If we alter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181050
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The relation between monetary policy and the stock market in Europe
Lütkepohl, Helmut; Netšunajev, Aleksei - 2018
We use a cointegrated structural vector autoregressive model to investigate the relation between euro area monetary policy and the stock market. Since there may be an instantaneous causal relation we consider long-run identifying restrictions for the structural shocks and also use (conditional)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011810177
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The relation between monetary policy and the stock market in Europe
Lütkepohl, Helmut; Netšunajev, Aleksei - In: Econometrics : open access journal 6 (2018) 3, pp. 1-14
We use a cointegrated structural vector autoregressive model to investigate the relation between monetary policy in the euro area and the stock market. Since there may be an instantaneous causal relation, we consider long-run identifying restrictions for the structural shocks and also used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011887655
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Moments, shocks and spillovers in Markov switching VAR models
Dijk, Dick van; Kole, Erik - 2021
To investigate how economies, financial markets or institutions can deal with stress, we nowadays often analyze the effects of shocks conditional on a recession or a bear market. MSVAR models are ideally suited for such analyses because they combine gradual movement with sudden switches. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012621564
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The impact of macroeconomic factors on the German stock market : evidence for the crisis, pre- and post-crisis periods
Celebi, Kaan; Hönig, Michaela - In: International Journal of Financial Studies : open … 7 (2019) 2/18, pp. 1-13
Today we live in a post-truth and highly digitalized era characterized by a flow of (mis-) information around the world. Identifying the impact of this information on stock markets and forecasting stock returns and volatilities has become a much more difficult task, perhaps almost impossible....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012039605
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Linkages between the US and European stock markets : a fractional cointegration approach
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; … - 2015
fractional integration and fractional cointegration techniques. These methods are more general and have higher power than the … both the S&P 500 Index and the Euro Stoxx 50 Index. Also, fractional cointegration appears to hold at least for the … diverging growth and monetary policy. Establishing whether the degree of cointegration has changed over time is important since …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334455
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Linkages between the US and European stock markets : a fractional cointegration approach
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; … - 2015
fractional integration and fractional cointegration techniques. These methods are more general and have higher power than the … both the S&P 500 Index and the Euro Stoxx 50 Index. Also, fractional cointegration appears to hold at least for the … diverging growth and monetary policy. Establishing whether the degree of cointegration has changed over time is important since …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011343058
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Linkages between the US and European Stock Markets : A Fractional Cointegration Approach
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2015
fractional integration and fractional cointegration techniques. These methods are more general and have higher power than the … both the S&P 500 Index and the Euro Stoxx 50 Index. Also, fractional cointegration appears to hold at least for the … diverging growth and monetary policy. Establishing whether the degree of cointegration has changed over time is important since …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014905
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Linkages between the US and European Stock Markets : A Fractional Cointegration Approach
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2015
fractional integration and fractional cointegration techniques. These methods are more general and have higher power than the … both the S&P 500 Index and the Euro Stoxx 50 Index. Also, fractional cointegration appears to hold at least for the … diverging growth and monetary policy. Establishing whether the degree of cointegration has changed over time is important since …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013497
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Linkages between the US and European Stock Markets : A Fractional Cointegration Approach
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2015
fractional integration and fractional cointegration techniques. The empirical evidence suggests the presence of unit roots in … both the S&P 500 Index and the Euro Stoxx 50 Index, and also that cointegration only holds over the subsample ending in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026126