We use party-identifying language – like “Liberal Media” and “MAGA”– to identify Republican users on the investor social platform StockTwits. Using a difference-in-difference design, we find that the beliefs of partisan Republicans about equities remain relatively unfazed during the...

In this paper we assesss whether some simple forms of technical analysis can predict stock price movements in the Madrid Stock Exchange. To that end, we use daily data for General Index of the Madrid Stock Exchange, covering the thirty-one-year period from January 1966-October 1997. Our results...

I use a time-varying parameter model in order to study the predictability of monthly real stock returns in Germany over the period 1880–1913. I find that the extent to which returns were predictable underwent significant changes over time. Specifically, predictability of returns, as measured...

A Monte Carlo computer simulation model is presented to study the evolution of stock price and the distribution of price fluctuation. The resistance is described by an elastic energy Ee=e·x2 resulting from the price deviation x from an initial value and the momentum trading by the potential...

Power-law distributions have been observed in various economical and physical systems. Lévy flights have infinite variance which discourage a physical approach. We introduce a class of stochastic processes, the “gradually truncated Lévy flight” in which large steps of a Lévy flight are...

The scattering diagram of a stock index results in a complex network structure, which can be used to analyze the viscoelastic properties of the index. The change along x- or y-direction of the diagram corresponds to purely elastic (or spring like) movement whereas the diagonal change at an angle...

The availability of huge volume of financial data has offered the possibility for understanding the markets as a complex system characterized by several stylized facts. Here we first show that the time evolution of the Japan’s Nikkei stock average index (Nikkei 225) futures follows the...