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Trillions of dollars are invested through index funds, exchange-traded funds, and other index derivatives. The benefits of index-linked investing are well-known, but the possible broader economic consequences are unstudied. I review research which suggests that index-linked investing is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138775
An AI analyst we build to digest corporate financial information, qualitative disclosure, and macroeconomic indicators are able to beat the majority of human analysts in stock price forecasts and generate excess returns compared to following human analysts. In the contest of “man vs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229458
"Leverage Effect" in the returns of BIST-100 index. Therefore, one can say that political uncertainty is still a problem for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012131511
We investigate the impact of China's economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on the time series variation of Chinese stock … future stock market return at various horizons. This negative relation between economic policy uncertainty and expected … future return remains significant as we control for a number of economic and market uncertainty variables or conduct out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968808
Using weekly stock-bond correlations estimated with high-frequency data, the authors find that a lower (more negative) stock-bond correlation forecasts falling 10-year interest rates over the coming weeks, and it also forecasts a falling 1-year interest rates over the next year. The reverse is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970361
Because levered equity is an option on the firm, variations in asset idiosyncratic risk (ivol) induces a negative relationship between equity ivol and expected returns. We show that the effect is caused by the nonlinear payoff of equity and the law of one price, and is present in all but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910108
This paper focuses on the horse race of weekly idiosyncratic momentum (IMOM) with respect to various idiosyncratic risk metrics. Using the A-share individual stocks in the Chinese market from January 1997 to December 2017, we first evaluate the performance of the weekly momentum and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225739
We document the predictive ability and economic significance of global economic policy uncertainty for U.S. equity … returns. After orthogonalizing global economic policy uncertainty (global EPU) with respect to the U.S. EPU, we find that it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013242535
This paper attempts to measure the risk and return relationship in Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) of Bangladesh. Applying Single Index Model, the study reports statistically significant positive relationship between risk and return both at the individual security level and at the portfolio level....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121127
We propose a novel measure of the ex-ante commodity downside-risk premium (CDP) for each commodity based on a term structure model of commodity futures. Our theory-based CDP, capturing forward-looking information in the futures markets, outperforms well-known characteristics in explaining the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239736