Showing 1 - 10 of 6,741
volatility, namely, seasonality and maturity effects for the pre-financialisation (1993-2003) and post-financialisation (2004 … futures' volatility before the financialisation period, open interest as a measure of liquidity has a negative effect after ….e. volatility of the contract increases as it nears to expiration since financialisation. This confirms the importance of accounting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012599014
A new procedure to trace the sources of contagion in the oil-finance nexus is proposed. We do this by consolidating veteran rules derived from the empirical oil literature to filter oil supply, global demand, and oil demand shocks into discrete typical and extreme conditions. We show how these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012120201
Prediction of volatility is to a larger extent anchored on the properties of a volatility time series i.e. mean …-reversion or random-walk. The consistency of mean-reversion or random-walk on the ZSE stock price and return volatility remain … unexplored. This study therefore attempts to investigate the behavior of ZSE stock price and return volatility using the class of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012959289
This paper proposes a latent dynamic factor model for low- as well as high-dimensional realized covariance matrices of stock returns. The approach is based on the matrix logarithm and allows for flexible dynamic dependence patterns by combining common latent factors driven by HAR dynamics and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010341025
autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity model and the dynamic conditional correlation model where distributional assumptions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011386468
Examinations of the dynamics of daily returns and volatility in stock markets of the US, Hong Kong and mainland China … across markets, with the highest correlation of 93.5% between the two Chinese markets, medium correlation of 30% between … correlations from the DCC model suggest an increase in correlation between China and other stock markets since the most recent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011296721
Using a modified DCC-MIDAS specification, we endogenize the long-term correlation between crude oil and stock price … future economic activity are helpful predictors of changes in the oil-stock correlation. For the period 1993-2011 there is … strong evidence for counter cyclical behavior of the long-term correlation. For prolonged periods with strong growth above …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066427
This paper investigates the time-varying conditional correlation between oil price and stock market volatility for six … Diag-BEKK model is employed. Our findings report the following regularities. (i) The correlation between the oil and stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910118
significantly on both US and UK EPU shocks. The long-run correlation depends positively on the US EPU shocks. The dependence is … US EPU shocks perform well in predicting correlation. We further analyze categorical EPU shocks and several global stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899727
correlation, but UK EPU shocks only affect its own long-run variance. The results are consistent when we include more countries in … correlation, even after accounting for a number of alternative uncertainty measures, and that it performs better out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855094