Do firms conducting reverse splits underperform or overperform in the long run? To resolve this question we investigate the long-term returns following more than 5,000 reverse splits conducted in 24 developed equity markets between the years 1990 and 2016. Using the calendar-time portfolio...

This paper examines return predictability when the investor is uncertain about the right state variables. A novel feature of the model averaging approach used in this paper is to account for finite-sample bias of the coefficients in the predictive regressions. Drawing on an extensive...

A simple manipulation of the cointegrated framework proposed by Lettau and Ludvigson (2001, 2004) allows to demonstrate that temporary fluctuations of the U.S. consumption-wealth ratio predict excess returns on international stock markets. This finding is the reflection of an important common,...