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This paper uses a broad geographical sample to investigate stock market integration during the classical Gold Standard. It is novel in estimating 'global components' of stock market returns, using methods proposed by Volosovych (2011), Pukthuanthong and Roll (2009) and Ciccarelli and Mojon...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012392200
This paper traces the origin and development of the complex systems theory over the course of history, up to its latest … advancement in the study of stock market crashes. The trail of the theory's fuzzy evolution is expansive that covers the ground of … complex systems theory from another seemingly overlapping theory of the chaos systems. The paper recounts how researchers from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966774
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003387664
The present study investigates the possible existence of a systematic relation between beta and excess-return for portfolios of Turkish equities. In the process, no systematic relation is found between beta and realized portfolio excessreturn, in an unconditional sense. However, the study does...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011450716
This paper studies the contemporaneous relationship between S&P 500 index returns and log-increments of the market volatility index (VIX) via a nonparametric copula method. Specifically, we propose a conditional dependence index to investigate how the dependence between the two series varies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011857010
This paper presents evidence suggesting that artificial neural networks approach (ANNs) outperform traditional statistical methods and can forecast equity premiums reasonably well. The study replicates out-of-sample estimates of regression using ANN with economic fundamentals as inputs. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895878
The Efficient Market Hypothesis is one of the most popular subjects in the empirical finance literature. Previous studies in the stock markets, which are mostly based on fixed time price variations, do not provide conclusive findings, in which evidence of short-term predictability varies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914355
Macroeconomic Theory and historical evidence suggest that bond prices help cause long-run convergence between stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991589
In investment, particularly in the portfolio management, the risk and returns are two crucial measures in making investment decisions. This paper attempts to provide a brief theoretical explanation with examples on determining the returns and associated risk of shares, and of the portfolio of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019802
divergences in the tail returns from around the world. To do so, it applies extreme value theory to equity indices representing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014049088