In this paper, we extend the literature on crash prediction models in three main ways. First, we explicitly relate crash prediction measures and asset pricing models. Second, we present a simple, effective statistical significance test for crash prediction models. Finally, we propose a...

This paper presents three definitions of time diversification and analyzes their implications for investment horizons. Using decision quality criteria and methodology, we question standard advice. In analyzing time diversification with a minimum of assumptions, we answer two main questions: how...