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macroeconomic fundamentals emanating from Germany and the U.S. We examine the reaction of intraday returns and volatility of the CAC … immediate response in returns and volatility of the German and the French stock market sampled at a five-minute frequency. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012942389
and the specification form of the volatility process when modelling volatility with the parametric GARCH family models …. This paper examines the Chinese stock market volatility and the asymmetric effects in the Chinese stock volatility by a … empirical result from the GAMNP model demonstrates better performance for the volatility forecasts, particularly in the out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150228
In this paper, we propose three new predictive models: the multi-step nonparametric predictive regression model and the multi-step additive predictive regression model, in which the predictive variables are locally stationary time series; and the multi-step time-varying coefficient predictive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011775136
volatility index (VIX) via a nonparametric copula method. Specifically, we propose a conditional dependence index to investigate … that the nonparametric leverage effect is much stronger than the nonparametric volatility feedback effect, although, in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011857010
This paper investigates the empirical properties of oil price and Stock market return volatilities using a range of univariate and multivariate GARCH models and monthly data from the U.S. The study relates the period August 1987 to October 2016, a total of 351 observations given. The aim of this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977192
Portfolio sorting is ubiquitous in the empirical finance literature, where it has been widely used to identify pricing anomalies in different asset classes. Despite the popularity of portfolio sorting, little attention has been paid to the statistical properties of the procedure or to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523775
This paper describes a forecasting exercise of close-to-open returns on major global stock indices, based on price patterns from foreign markets that have become available overnight. As the close-to-open gap is a scalar response variable to a functional variable, it is natural to focus on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379456
small minority of different cases. Investigating further we find that all volatility series show persistence breaks during …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012322368
value robust volatility estimator with respect to the standard robust volatility estimator as proposed in the paper by … Muneer & Maheswaran (2018b). We show that the robust volatility ratio is unbiased both in the population as well as in finite … samples. We empirically test the robust volatility ratio on 9 global stock indices from America, Asia Pacific and EMEA markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012023869
Sellers of variance swaps earn time-varying risk premia for their exposure to realized variance, the level of variance swap rates, and the slope of the variance swap curve. To measure risk premia, we estimate a dynamic term structure model that decomposes variance swap rates into expected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523781