Showing 1 - 10 of 18,359
Purpose: The aim of our paper is twofold. First, we examine the predictive ability of log bookmarket, dividend …-price, earnings-price and dividend-earnings ratios on the most recent data set of the strongest securities in the UK economy; unlike … the majority of the studies in this data set, our analysis is not limited on returns but further investigates dividend and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012485885
This paper examines to what extent the momentum spread ratio (MSR) can predict momentum profits. The momentum spread ratio as a potential proxy of investor underreaction can significantly predict the momentum, industry momentum, and residual momentum, especially after 1994, suggesting that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013404733
Even in large equity markets, the dividend-price ratio is significantly related with the growth of future dividends. In … with within-year seasonality. We reduce the effect of price volatility on the dividend-price ratio by applying a simple … smoothing technique, and we identify the component of the smoothed dividend-price ratio that offers predictive power. An …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006710
This study discusses the trading behavior of foreign investors with respect to economic uncertainty in the South Korean stock market from a time-varying perspective. We employ a news-based measure of economic uncertainty along with the model of time-varying parameter vector autoregression with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012594935
Recent evidence on the relationship between investor sentiment and subsequent monthly market returns in China shows that investor sentiment is a reliable momentum predictor since an increase (decrease) in investor sentiment leads to higher (lower) future returns. However, we suggest that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012931914
Using the long-term wavelet component of monthly S&P 500 excess returns as supervision information, we employ a machine learning method to extract the common predictive information of 14 prevalent macroeconomic variables, and construct a new macroeconomic index aligned for predicting stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014238602
A large part of the current debate on US stock price behavior concentrates on the question of whether stock prices are driven by fundamentals or by non-fundamental factors. In this paper we put forward the hypothesis that a present value model with time-varying expected returns provides an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010503717
of the classical log dividend–price ratio, we allow the data to reveal the cointegration vector between d and p. We … define the modified dividend–price ratio (mdp), as the long run trend deviation between d and p. Using S&P 500 data for the … correlation with the risk free return component, and can discern if a low dividend state coincides with a low yield state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905483
apply tests of monotonic relation. The principal findings are as follows. The high dividend stocks perform markedly better … supplemented with the evidence of monotonic relation: the higher dividend yields, the higher mean returns. However, the abnormal … returns related to dividend yields are characteristic largely only for big- and midcaps. We find very weak evidence for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005682
We use a Panel Smooth Transition Regression (STR) model to study nonlinearities in the expectationformation process in the US stock market. To this end, we use data from the Livingston survey to investigate how the importance of regressive and extrapolative expectations fluctuates over time as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010479018