One of the challenges of financial stability analysis and bank stress testing is how to establish scenarios with meaningful macro-financial linkages, i.e., taking into account spillover effects and other forms of contagion. We come up with an approach to simulate the potential impact of...

A framework to run system-wide, balance sheet data-based liquidity stress tests is presented. The liquidity framework includes three elements: (a) a module to simulate the impact of bank run scenarios; (b) a module to assess risks arising from maturity transformation and rollover risks,...

We discuss issues of real estate price bubble, the extent of wealth effects, affordability, financial deepening and credit market risks. Our simulations indicate that given current wealth levels, cost of credit and maturity, average homes are not affordable by average consumers. The market...

This paper studies implications of intermediation costs in credit markets. The presence of intermediation costs increases the amount of risky projects therefore results in financial fragility. Moreover, for an open economy that has a perfectly liberal capital account, prudent firms finance their...

This paper examines the role of primary fiscal balances as a signaling device in a world in which investors are uncertain about the sovereign's commitment to honor its obligations. Based on the Drudi-Prati model that rationalizes delayed stabilization and debt accumulation, we verify the...