Showing 1 - 10 of 3,711
hypothesis of a rational bubble. -- Fractional integration ; bubbles ; changing persistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003672198
This study tests for a break in the persistence of EMU government bond yield spreads examining data from France, Italy and Spain and using German interest rates as a kind of benchmark. The results reported here provide evidence for breaks between 2006 and 2008. The persistence of the yield...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010239739
We propose a simple test on structural change in long-range dependent time series. It is based on the idea that the test statistic of the standard CUSUM test retains its asymptotic distribution if it is applied to fractionally differenced data. We prove that our approach is asymptotically valid...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011655296
We propose a family of self-normalized CUSUM tests for structural change under long memory. The test statistics apply non-parametric kernel-based fixed-b and fixed-m long-run variance estimators and have well-defined limiting distributions that only depend on the long-memory parameter. A Monte...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011957769
Generalized sup ADF (GSADF) test procedure developed by Phillips, Shi, and Yu (Testing for Multiple Bubbles: Historical Episodes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011674010
Generalized supADF (GSADF) test procedure developed by Phillips et al. (Testing for multiple bubbles: Historical episodes of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011812671
It is well known that standard tests for a mean shift are invalid in long-range dependent time series. Therefore, several long memory robust extensions of standard testing principles for a change-in-mean have been proposed in the literature. These can be divided into two groups: those that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011667075
This paper analyses the stochastic properties of UK nominal and real wages over the period 1750-2015 using fractional integration techniques. Both the original series and logged ones are analysed. The results generally suggest that nominal wages exhibit a higher degree of persistence, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013417630
Bitcoin is a decentralised cryptographic virtual currency scheme based on a peer-to-peer network that has attracted substantial number of users in recent years. In this paper, we investigate reasons behind its success and explosive behaviour in its exchange rates in 2013-14. We debate whether...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972996
Lobato and Robinson (1998) develop semiparametric tests for the null hypothesis that a series is weakly autocorrelated, or I(0), about a constant level, against fractionally integrated alternatives. These tests have the advantage that the user is not required to specify a parametric model for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012243070