We consider the problem of testing for a structural break in the spatial lag parameter in a panel model (spatial autoregressive). We propose a likelihood ratio test of the null hypothesis of no break against the alternative hypothesis of a single break. The limiting distribution of the test is...

Even though the impacts of the globalization on economic growth and structural changes are inevitable, many developing countries are slowly transformed in the process. This paper examines the impact of structural transformation of Sri Lanka's economy on sectoral interdependencies to provide...

The hypothesis of structural stability that the regression coefficients do not change over time is central to all applications of linear regression models. It is rather surprising that existing theory as well as practice focuses on testing for structural change under homoskedasticity – that...

We propose a strategy for assessing structural stability in time-series frameworks when potential change dates are unknown. Existing tests for structural stability have proven to be effective in detecting the presence of structural change, but procedures for identifying timing are highly...

By its emissions of greenhouse gases, economic activity is the source of climate change which affects pandemics that in turn can impact badly on economies. Across the three highly interacting disciplines in our title, time-series observations are measured at vastly different data frequencies:...

The present paper develops Adaptive Trees, a new machine learning approach specifically designed for economic forecasting. Economic forecasting is made difficult by economic complexity, which implies non-linearities (multiple interactions and discontinuities) and unknown structural changes (the...

This paper identifies and characterizes episodes of structural change in the 27 years that preceded the Great Recession. This is done by performing Bai-Perron (2003a, 2003b) tests on 61,843 time series that span 34 countries, which collectively accounted for 81% of Gross World Product in 2013....

We propose a novel approach to modelling structural changes in asset returns correlations. Our framework allows for breaks of different type in the conditional and unconditional correlation components by capturing abrupt regime switches in the short-run correlations and smooth transitions...

Exchange rate volatility is said to exemplify the economic health of a country. Exchange rate break points (known as structural breaks) have a momentous impact on the macroeconomy of a country. Nonetheless, this country study makes use of both unsupervised and supervised machine learning...

Drawing on agency theory and transaction cost analysis, this study investigates the impact of refranchising and buybacks of downstream retail units by franchising firms on shareholder value (i.e., stock returns). It further evaluates the contingency role of firm and industry factors in shaping...