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This paper uses NIESR’s global econometric model, NiGEM, to analyse possible adjustment paths for the US current account, if its current level of 6 per cent of GDP proves unsustainable. Nominal exchange rate shifts have only a transitory impact on current account balances, so any long-term...
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ecological footprint per capita by applying an autoregressive distributed lag model for the Republic of Turkey. According to the …
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Using quarterly data over the period 1999Q1-2012Q1, this paper finds that the current account dynamics of Mauritius are adequately portrayed by a three-regime self-exciting threshold autoregressive (SETAR) model that leads to two current account equilibria, namely a high deficit of 9% and a low...
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Venezuela show weak forms of sustainability. For these six nations, the presence of a cointegration relationship between exports … strong form entails: (1) a cointegration, or a long run equilibrium, relationship between exports and imports of goods and … than proportional increase in exports. For a few nations that failed the full sample (1970-2018) cointegration test, we …
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