Technological progress in recent years has made new methods available for making forecasts in a variety of areas. We examine the success of ex-ante stock market forecasts of three major stock market indices, i.e., the German Stock Market Index (DAX), the Dow Jones Industrial Index (DJI), and the...

Markowitz (1952) hat gezeigt, dass es für risikoaverse Wirtschaftssubjekte sinnvoll ist, das Vermögen auf verschiedene Anlageinstrumente zu verteilen. Doch erweist sich in der Praxis, dass Wirtschaftssubjekte häufig nicht-optimal diversifizierte Portfolios halten. Es gibt viele mögliche...

Status quo bias is a systematic cognitive error which makes it difficult for individuals to make decisions independently of the currently dominant situation. This study pursues the question of whether bond market analysts are affected by status quo bias. We evaluated interest rate forecast...