This is the online Appendix to "Multi-Asset Scenario Building for Trend-Following Trading Strategies."We provide additional empirical results to challenge our findings from the main paper. These tests include, among others: long-short trading environment, subsample testing, modified indicator...

This paper presents a new method for improving the performance of trend-following trading strategies. This new approach improves the inherent problem of trend-following strategies, which is their lagging signals. We simulate alternative price paths of financial assets using a modification of a...

Climate change has become a pressing issue that requires comprehensive and scientific understanding of its impact on the economy. Policymakers seek answers to the questions of how climate change affects economic growth, inflation, and the financial system. To design targeted policies, it is...

Many sophisticated investors rely on scenario analysis to select a portfolio. These investors define prospective economic scenarios, assign probabilities to them, translate the scenarios into expected asset class returns, and select the portfolio with the highest expected return or expected...

This paper introduces the quantile regression- based Distance-to-Default to Probability of Default (DD-PD) mapping, which links individual firms' DD to their real world PD. Since changes in the DD depend on a handful of parameters, the mapping easily accommodates shocks arising from quantitative...

Scenario planning is key for companies to prepare for potential shifts in the global business picture from the ongoing Greek crises.Global financial firms such as Citigroup, Bank of America, and JPMorgan Chase and Company have already begun to reduce their exposure.Companies with direct...

We derive worst-case scenarios in the case where the interest rate and the various transition intensities in a life insurance model are mutually dependent. Examples of this dependence are that surrender intensities and interest rates are high at the same time, that mortality intensities of a...

Die Stabilität der Europäischen Währungsunion ist durch die derzeit angespannte Haushaltslage und den hohen Verschuldungsgrad einiger Mitgliedstaaten in Frage gestellt. Diese Arbeit untersucht die Auswirkungen verschiedener (Krisen-)Szenarien auf das Portfolio eines durchschnittlichen...