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We propose using a simple Taylor rule to evaluate business cycle convergence of the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland with the Eurozone. Our findings indicate an ongoing convergence of those CEE countries to the Eurozone, but with instabilities and heterogeneity between the countries....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015192161
Taylor rules posit a linear relationship between the output gap, inflation, and short-term nominal interest rates. Previous work has shown that the relationship between these key economic variables as captured by the Taylor rule is quite robust both across countries and monetary policy regimes....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318600
The Taylor (1993) rule for determining interest rates is generalized to account for three additional variables: The money supply, money velocity, and the unemployment rate. Thus, five parameters, i.e. weights assigned to the deviation in the inflation rate, the deviation in real GDP (Gross...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014558406
The uniqueness of bounded local equilibria under interest rate rules is analyzed in a model with sticky information à la Mankiw and Reis (2002). The main results are tighter bounds on monetary policy than in sticky-price models, irrelevance of the degree of output-gap targeting for determinacy,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263742
This paper estimates forward-looking Taylor rules for the euro area. Using the asymmetries in inflation and cyclical output developments across countries, we investigate the adequacy of the single monetary policy for each of the European Monetary Union (EMU) member countries. Notable differences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264325
This paper explores the role that the imperfect knowledge of the structure of the economy plays in the uncertainty surrounding the effects of rule-based monetary policy on unemployment dynamics in the euro area and the US. We employ a Bayesian model averaging procedure on a wide range of models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264579
This paper examines the effect of government ideology on monetary policy in a quarterly data set of 15 OECD countries in the period 1980.1-2005.4. Our Taylor-rule specification focuses on the interactions of a new time-variant indicator for central bank independence and government ideology. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265771
We assess differences that emerge in Taylor rule estimations for the Fed and the ECB before and after the start of the subprime crisis. For this purpose, we apply an explicit estimate of the equilibrium real interest rate and of potential output in order to account for variations within these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010269998
This paper examines if US monetary policy responds to asset prices. Using real-time data we estimate a Taylor-type rule with an asset price variable. This variable refers to real estate prices, considering that those exhibit an important share in households' asset portfolio. Moreover, especially...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270254
The analysis of this paper examines the uniqueness of equilibria in a broad class of dynamic monetary models that satisfy Lucas's (1972) natural rate hypothesis (NRH). For a given demand specification, the resulting bounds for determinacy on monetary policy's interest rate rule are the same for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270740