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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000667377
market in a general-equilibrium model of the world economy. We analyze the impact of the advent of fracking on the volatility …We use a new micro data set that covers all oil fields in the world to estimate a stochastic industry-equilibrium model … of oil prices. Our model predicts a large decline in this volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955791
both upward and down jumps, this results in implied volatility curves displaying distinct shapes when compared to equity … volatility, jump risk, and pricing dynamics within crude oil markets. Examining a WTI crude oil sample for the 2007-2013 period …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024229
Using the model-independent approaches of Trolle and Schwartz (2008) and Kozhan et al (2013), we estimate the Variance Risk Premium and Skew Risk Premium for oil market. After estimation, the contribution of the paper is twofold. First, we try to figure out which variables can describe the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920696
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is most helpful for forecasting the VaR. The model that integrates the world industrial production index (GARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013241732
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013187561
We analyze empirically what drives market expectations of crude oil price volatility. Between 2000 and 2014, we … outperforms a benchmark ARIMA specification both in and out of sample, suggests an approach for studying volatility in asset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013245198
We analyze empirically what drives market expectations of crude oil price volatility. Between 2000 and 2014, we … outperforms a benchmark ARIMA specification both in and out of sample, suggests an approach for studying volatility in asset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013245199
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011669352