According to the expectations channel, a fiscal consolidation may give rise to less contractionary, or even expansionary effects on consumption, despite a decline in current disposable income. Intuitively, people may accumulate a stock of savings in anticipation of the consolidation and may...

In dieser Studie werden die Effekte von Geld- und Fiskalpolitik auf Konsumentenerwartungen in Szenarien von hohem und niedrigem öffentlichen Schuldenstand empirisch untersucht. In Reaktion auf einen Anstieg der Staatsausgaben steigen Konsumpläne bei niedrigem, fallen jedoch bei hohem...

This book includes a selection of refereed papers presented at the "Annual International Conference of the German Operations Research Society (OR2016)," which took place at the Helmut-Schmidt-Universität / Universität der Bundeswehr Hamburg, Germany, Aug. 30 - Sept. 2, 2016. Over 700...

We examine the transmission of global macro-financial uncertainty to economic activity depending on the current state of the banking sector. Previous literature suggests that credit supply and uncertainty shocks are important drivers of economic activity, but the distinction between the two is...