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In this paper we model the dynamics of 100 years long monthly price series of eight non-ferrous and precious metals. Applying the state space framework we impose and identify two common factors related to non-ferrous and precious metals, respectively, which exhibit quite distinct autoregressive...
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Fundamentals of commodity spot and futures markets -- Equilibrium relationships between spot prices and forward prices -- Stochastic modelling of commodity price processes -- Plain-vanilla option pricing and hedging -- Risk-neutral valuation of plain-vanilla options -- Monte-Carlo simulations...
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