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Forecasting the turns of German business cycle : dynamic bi-factor model with Markov switching
Kholodilin, Konstantin A. (contributor) - 2005
In this paper a dynamic bi-factor model with Markov switching is proposed to measure and predict turning points of the German business cycle. It estimates simultaneously the composite leading indicator (CLI) and composite coincident indicator (CCI) together with corresponding probabilities of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002927882
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Signalling bottlenecks/overcapacities and low/high dynamics : a new approach to indicate changes in business cycles in the manufacturing industry using Markov switching models on b...
Amstad, Marlene; Etter, Richard - In: Economic surveys and data analysis : CIRET Conference …, (pp. 283-305). 2002
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001747534
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Predicting recessions with leading indicators : model averaging and selection over the business cycle
Berge, Travis J. - In: Journal of forecasting 34 (2015) 6, pp. 455-471
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011343630
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Detecting and predicting economic accelerations, recessions, and normal growth periods in real-time
Proaño Acosta, Christian - 2013
auf makroökonomische als auch auf Finanzmarktvariablen für Deutschland. Die empirischen Ergebnisse unterstreichen nicht …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010240802
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Methoden der Schätzung des gesamtwirtschaftlichen Produktionspotentials und der Produktionslücke
Weyerstrass, Klaus - 2001
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001575289
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A new approach to the evaluation and selection of leading indicators
Gottschling, Andrea; Trimbur, Thomas - In: European Monetary Union, emerging markets and …, (pp. 155-165). 2000
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001549908
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Wachstumsfluktuationen, Zykluskonzepte und konjunkturelle Wendepunkte
Amstad, Marlene; Schips, Bernd - In: Classification and clustering in business cycle analysis, (pp. 69-81). 2007
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003410711
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Demand regimes and the business-cycle : feedback effects between capacity utilization and income distribution taking into account overhead labor : SVAR-estimates for Germany (2007...
Hansen, Mads R. - 2024
assess short-term regimes of aggregate demand and distribution in Germany. The obtained Impulse Response Functions (IRFs) of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014490713
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Appendices : Business cycle accounting
Chari, Varadarajan V.; Kehoe, Patrick J.; McGrattan, … - 2006 - Rev.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003283779
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Business cycle accounting
Chari, Varadarajan V.; Kehoe, Patrick J.; McGrattan, … - 2006 - Rev.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003426821