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Detecting and predicting economic accelerations, recessions, and normal growth periods in real-time
Proaño Acosta, Christian - 2013
auf makroökonomische als auch auf Finanzmarktvariablen für Deutschland. Die empirischen Ergebnisse unterstreichen nicht …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010240802
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Predicting recessions with leading indicators : model averaging and selection over the business cycle
Berge, Travis J. - In: Journal of forecasting 34 (2015) 6, pp. 455-471
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011343630
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Forecasting Macedonian business cycle turning points using Qual VAR model
Petrovska, Magdalena; Krstevska, Aneta; Naumovski, Nikola - Narodna Banka na Republika Makedonija - 2016
This paper aims to assess the usefulness of leading indicators in business cycle research and forecast. Initially we test the predictive power of the ESI within a static probit model as a leading indicator, commonly perceived to be able to provide a reliable summary of the current economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011623919
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Forecasting Macedonian business cycle turning points using Qual VAR model
Petrovska, Magdalena; Krstevska, Aneta; Naumovski, Nikola - In: Journal of central banking theory and practice 5 (2016) 3, pp. 61-78
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011650063
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Model averaging in Markov-switching models : predicting national recessions with regional data
Guérin, Pierre; Leiva-Leon, Danilo - In: Economics letters 157 (2017), pp. 45-49
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011847300
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Model averaging in Markov-switching models : predicting national recessions with regional data
Guérin, Pierre; Leiva-Leon, Danilo - 2017
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011791491
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A new approach to the evaluation and selection of leading indicators
Gottschling, Andrea; Trimbur, Thomas - In: European Monetary Union, emerging markets and …, (pp. 155-165). 2000
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001549908
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Dating US business cycles with macro factors
Fossati, Sebastian - In: Studies in nonlinear dynamics and econometrics : SNDE ; … 20 (2016) 5, pp. 529-547
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011649152
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Measuring US business cycles : a comparison of two methods and two indicators of economic activities
Ahking, Francis W. - In: Journal of economic and social measurement 39 (2014) 4, pp. 199-216
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011308243
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Do leading indexes really influence the probability of Australian business cycle phase shifts?
Layton, Allan P. - 1996
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000610231