We provide empirical evidence that deviations from uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) display significant nonlinearities, consistent with theories based on transaction costs or limits to speculation. This evidence suggests that the forward bias documented in the literature may be less...

This study is motivated by the negative HKD-USD interest rate differentials observed after the US interest rate hike on December 17, 2015. We first analyze two practical concerns that are typical from the perspective of a carry trader: (1) the difference in borrowing rate and lending rate of a...