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While it is widely agreed that Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) holds as a long-run concept the specific dynamic driving the process is largely build upon a priori economic belief rather than a thorough statistical modeling procedure. The two prevailing time series models, i.e. the exponential...
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tests against serial correlation, no remaining nonlinearity and parameter constancy. We also consider evaluation by …
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Bias correction, explosive behavior, non-linearity, model selection, persistence, specification testing. - Bias …
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The classical theory about foreign exchange rate explains its fluctuations as the resulting of a random walk motion. In this paper, such a theory is put into question by performing Brock, Dechert and Scheinkman's (1987) test on the Austrian Schilling - US Dollars exchange rate for the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291922
This paper builds models of nonlinear dynamics in the aggregate investment and borrower net worth and uses them to study the causes and nature of endogenous credit cycles. The basic model has two types of projects: the Good and the Bad. The Bad is highly productive, but, unlike the Good, it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266314
A growing empirical and theoretical literature argues in favor of specifying monetary policy in the form of Taylor-type interest rate feedback rules. That is, rules whereby the nominal interest rate is set as an increasing function of inflation with a slope greater than one around an intended...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318350
This paper provides an example in which a slight behavioral heterogeneity may fundamentally change the qualitative properties of a nonlinear cobweb market with a quadratic cost function and an isoelastic demand function. We consider two types of producers; adaptive and naive. In a market of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322049