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In continuous-time stochastic calculus a limit in probability is used to extend the definition of the stochastic integral to the case where the integrand is not square-integrable at the endpoint of the time interval under consideration. When the extension is applied to portfolio strategies,...
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This paper studies the design of optimal fiscal policy when a government that fully trusts the probability model of government expenditures faces a fearful public that forms pessimistic expectations. We identify two forces that shape our results. On the one hand, the government has an incentive...
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pretending that a sequence of minimizing players choose increments to a martingale and distortions to the prior over the hidden … operators to extend the approach of Hansen and Sargent (1995) to problems that contain hidden states. The worst case martingale …
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Central limit theorem, quadratic variation, bipower variation
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We provide a set of probabilistic laws for range-based estimation of integrated variance of a continuous semi-martingale …
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