Showing 1 - 10 of 22,159
This paper examines the relationship between unemployment, real oil price and real interest rates in Canada. Instead of …/cointegration techniques which allow for the possibility that unemployment is highly persistent. In line with other studies, we find that all … equilibrium model with highly persistent shocks might be adequate to account for the observed behaviour of unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614880
This article is concerned with the dynamic behaviour of UK unemployment. However, instead of using traditional … suggest that the UK unemployment may be explained in terms of lagged values of the real oil prices and the real interest rate …, with the order of integration of unemployment ranging between 0.50 and 1. Thus, unemployment shows the characteristics of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582384
models are important in estimating and forecasting volatility, as well as capturing asymmetry, which is the different effects … between asymmetry and leverage, as well as which asymmetric models are purported to be able to capture leverage, the purpose …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010405194
models are important in estimating and forecasting volatility, as well as in capturing asymmetry, which is the different … confusion in the literature between asymmetry and leverage, as well as which asymmetric models are purported to be able to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010417180
by McAleer and Hafner (2014) to obtain EGARCH. These models can be used to capture asymmetry, which denotes the different …) showed that asymmetry was possible for GJR, but not leverage. McAleer and Hafner showed that leverage was not possible for … EGARCH. Surprisingly, the conditions for asymmetry in EGARCH seem to have been ignored in the literature, or have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011688332
We consider the problem of measuring transition probabilities across employment, unemployment and inactivity when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014353613
network (ARNN) unit root test (Yaya et al. 2021; Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics), to investigate unemployment … plausibility of nonlinearity in the unemployment rate of these European countries. The results show non-rejection of unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014080991
Credible Granger-causality analysis appears to require post-sample inference, as it is well-known that in-sample fit can be a poor guide to actual forecasting effectiveness. However, post-sample model testing requires an often-consequential a priori partitioning of the data into an "in-sample"...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010336194
Abstract Comparative ex-ante prediction experiments over expanding subsamples are a popular tool for the task of selecting the best forecasting model class in finite samples of practical relevance. Flanking such a horse race by predictive-accuracy tests, such as the test by Diebold and Mariano...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011895825
This paper compares models used to explain OECD unemployment. The models suggest that the ?natural rate of unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261916