The failure of decreases in oil prices to produce expansions that mirror the contractions associated with higher oil prices has been a topic of considerable interest. We investigate for the G-7 one explanation for this feature - the role of uncertainty about oil prices. In particular, we examine...

This paper consists of two parts, a theoretical followed by an empirical contribution. We first give a new framework for fractional differencing in discrete time and show how the definition of fractional differencing that is commonly employed in empirical financial applications arises as a...

This paper derives an analytical expression for an impulse-response function for a vector autoregression with multivariate GARCH errors, where the vector of conditional means is a function of the conditional variances. We also provide the appropriate interpretation of an impulse-response...