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Several approaches for subset recovery and improved forecasting accuracy have been proposed and studied. One way is to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291802
in forecasting from using bivariate models remained small otherwise. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292735
. While the forecasting error of the combined forecast tends to be systematically smaller than that of the individual model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293409
We propose a new time series model aimed at forecasting crude oil prices. The proposed specification is an unobserved …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293428
forecasting financial volatility. We use the auto-covariances of log increments of the multi-fractal process in order to estimate … ?scaling? approach. Our empirical estimates are used in out-of-sample forecasting of volatility for a number of important …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295056
Bayesian forecasting of volatility. However, applicability of MLE is restricted to cases with a discrete distribution of … leads to gains in forecasting accuracy for some time series. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295106
forecasting of volatility. However, applicability of MLE is restricted to cases with a discrete distribution of volatility … leads to gains in forecasting accuracy for some time series. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295151
macroeconomic policy analysis and forecasting. By means of an empirical application we demonstrate that these models turn out to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295783
This paper gives a brief survey of forecasting with panel data. Starting with a simple error component regression and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295814
represent nicely the two opposing forecasting philosophies. The DSGE model on the one hand has a strong theoretical economic …-horizon forecasting and structural models should be used in long-horizon forecasting. Our paper compareds both state-of-the art data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295876